Alcorn State vs. UAPB Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 8

Published 9:38 pm Friday, February 7, 2025

Saturday’s game features the Alcorn State Braves (5-17, 5-4 SWAC) and the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (4-18, 1-8 SWAC) clashing at Davey L. Whitney Complex in what is expected to be a one-sided matchup, with a projected 81-69 win for heavily favored Alcorn State according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 4:00 PM ET on February 8.

Based on our computer prediction, Alcorn State is projected to cover the spread (9.5) versus UAPB. The two teams are expected to exceed the 145.5 over/under.

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Alcorn State vs. UAPB Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, February 8, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV: SWAC Digital Network
  • Where: Lorman, Mississippi
  • Venue: Davey L. Whitney Complex
  • Line: Alcorn State -9.5
  • Point total: 145.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Alcorn State -469, UAPB +340

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Alcorn State vs. UAPB Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Alcorn State 81, UAPB 69

Spread & Total Prediction for Alcorn State vs. UAPB

  • Pick ATS: Alcorn State (-9.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (145.5)

Alcorn State is 13-8-0 against the spread this season compared to UAPB’s 9-11-0 ATS record. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Braves are 9-12-0 and the Golden Lions are 13-7-0. The two teams put up 136.7 points per game combined, 8.8 fewer than this matchup’s total. Alcorn State is 7-3 against the spread and 5-5 overall over its past 10 contests, while UAPB has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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Alcorn State Performance Insights

  • The Braves’ -280 scoring differential (being outscored by 12.7 points per game) is a result of scoring 62.4 points per game (361st in college basketball) while giving up 75.1 per contest (280th in college basketball).
  • Alcorn State loses the rebound battle by 1.3 boards on average. It collects 31 rebounds per game, which ranks 257th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 32.3 per outing.
  • Alcorn State knocks down 6 three-pointers per game (334th in college basketball) while shooting 33.2% from deep (223rd in college basketball). It is making 3.2 fewer threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 9.2 per game while shooting 33.7%.
  • The Braves’ 81.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 361st in college basketball, and the 97.7 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 308th in college basketball.
  • Alcorn State has come up short in the turnover battle by 2.3 turnovers per game, committing 13.6 (336th in college basketball play) while forcing 11.3 (208th in college basketball).

UAPB Performance Insights

  • The Golden Lions have been outscored by 13.7 points per game (posting 74.3 points per game, 185th in college basketball, while giving up 88 per outing, 364th in college basketball) and have a -301 scoring differential.
  • UAPB loses the rebound battle by 4.8 boards on average. It records 30.8 rebounds per game, 270th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 35.6.
  • UAPB knocks down 7.5 three-pointers per game (202nd in college basketball) at a 32.4% rate (268th in college basketball), compared to the 9.9 per outing its opponents make, shooting 35.7% from deep.
  • UAPB has committed 2.9 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 14.6 (354th in college basketball) while forcing 11.7 (169th in college basketball).

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