NBA Best Bets: Mavericks vs. Pelicans Picks for February 21

Published 4:33 pm Friday, February 21, 2025

The New Orleans Pelicans (13-42) are underdogs (by 5.5 points) to stop a seven-game road losing streak when they visit the Dallas Mavericks (30-26) on Friday, February 21, 2025 at 8:30 PM ET.

Want to make an informed wager on Friday’s game? Discover the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in the following article.

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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Game Info

  • When: Friday, February 21, 2025 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
  • TV: KFAA and Gulf Coast Sports
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Best Bets

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Kyrie Irving Over 27.5 PTS

  • The 27.5 points prop bet over/under set for Kyrie Irving on Friday is 2.9 more than his scoring average on the season (24.6).
  • Irving has gone up against a points prop bet in 44 games this season, and he’s hit the over 23 times.
  • The Mavericks are at the 11th spot in the NBA’s scoring rankings (115.7 points per game), while the Pelicans concede the 27th-lowest amount of points (119.4 per game).
  • Dallas is 17-5 when putting up more points than 119.4.

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Trey Murphy III Over 22.5 PTS

  • Trey Murphy III is averaging 22.4 points during the 2024-25 season, 0.1 lower than Friday’s prop total.
  • This season Murphy is 23-for-38 at scoring more than the over/under set for him in terms of points.
  • New Orleans’ squad is currently the 22nd-ranked scoring team in the NBA (110.6 points per game), while Dallas is 17th in points conceded (113.5 per game).
  • New Orleans has put together a 10-10 record when it scores more than 113.5 points.

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Pick ATS: Mavericks (- 5.5)

  • Dallas’ record against the spread is 30-26-0.
  • Against the spread, New Orleans is 23-32-0 this season.
  • As 5.5-point favorites or more, the Mavericks are 10-6 against the spread.
  • The Pelicans are 12-19 as 5.5-point underdogs or greater.

Bet on this game’s spread with BetMGM

Pick OU:

Under (237.5)

  • Mavericks games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 237.5 points 19 times.
  • The Pelicans have combined with their opponent to score more than 237.5 points in 19 of 55 games this season.
  • The average point total in Dallas’ games this season is 228, 9.5 points fewer than this matchup’s over/under.
  • New Orleans’ matchups this season have a 226.8-point average over/under, 10.7 fewer points than this game’s point total.
  • The Mavericks score the eighth-most points in the league this season, while the Pelicans’ offense puts up the 21st-most.
  • The Mavericks are the NBA’s 20th-ranked scoring defense while the Pelicans are the 27th-ranked.

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Moneyline Pick: Mavericks (-220)

  • The Mavericks have won 18, or 66.7%, of the 27 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • The Pelicans have been underdogs in 40 games this season and have come away with the win six times (15%) in those contests.
  • This season, Dallas has won 12 of its 15 games, or 80%, when favored by at least -220 on the moneyline.
  • This year, New Orleans has won two of 31 games when listed as at least +180 or better on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 68.8% chance of a victory for the Mavericks.

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