NEW ORLEANS — The National Weather Service is watching a weather disturbance they say has a low chance of developing into a tropical depression this week in the Gulf of Mexico.

As of 7:30 a.m., a low-pressure system was developing in the Caribbean from Cuba to the Florida peninsula. It is expected to move into the Gulf of Mexico this week.

Meteorologists do not expect the system to have any effect on the Gulf Coast until Thursday but said the system could bring heavy rain toward the end of the week into Memorial Day.

Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center said it has a near 0 percent chance of developing into at least a tropical depression within 48 hours and a 20 percent chance of developing into at least a tropical depression within five days.