The Atlanta Falcons will meet the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Our computer model predicts that the Saints will win — see below for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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On offense, the Falcons rank 20th in the NFL with 307.3 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 18th in total defense (326.7 yards allowed per contest). With 343.3 total yards per game on offense, the Saints rank ninth in the NFL in 2024. On defense, they rank 21st, surrendering 335.3 total yards per game.

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Saints vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks

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Saints Betting Info

• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Saints.
• New Orleans has covered twice in three games with a spread this season.
• The Saints have won their only game this year when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
• So far this year, two New Orleans games have gone over the point total.
• The average total for Saints games is 46 points, five more than this game’s over/under.

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Falcons Betting Info

• The Falcons have an implied moneyline win probability of 60.8% in this matchup.
• Atlanta has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
• The Falcons have not covered the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
• Atlanta and its opponent have not hit the over yet this season.
• Falcons games average 45.2 total points per game this season, 4.2 more than the over/under for this matchup.

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Saints vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights

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